Carbon capture and storage

Category: Greenhouse Gas Emissions

posted by Chriso

Wednesday, July 09, 2008 12:35 PM

Premier Stelmach announced yesterday that Alberta will commit $2 billion to carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects. The idea of burying CO2 underground sounds good (out of sight, out of mind?), but I've heard some very disturbing things about not only the possible dangers of CCS, but also its very questionable economics. It reminds me of the nuclear industry's problem of having to store its nuclear wastes somewhere, basically forever.

There are several potentially serioius environmental problems with CCS, but on the economics alone, the whole idea looks mad, and I reckon it will inevitably leave the Alberta government in a seriously boondoggled state.

Vaclav Smil of U. of Manitoba has done some thinking about the vast scale of CCS. "He calculates that if just 10% of global CO2 emissions were to be sequestered, this would mean burying annually about 6,000 million cubic metres of compressed CO2 gas. This is larger than the annual volume of oil extracted globally – a bit less than 5,000 million cubic metres in 2005. This means creating an industry that would, every year, force underground a volume of compressed gas larger than the volume of crude oil extracted globally by the petroleum industry. Noting that the oil industry's infrastructure and capacity has been put in place over a century, Smil concludes that 'such a technical feat could not be accomplished within a single generation.'" Reference : SMIL, V. (2006) Energy at the Crossroads: Background notes for a presentation at the Global Science Forum Conference on Scientific Challenges for Energy Research, OECD Conference on Scientific Challenges for Energy Research, Paris, 2006, [Online], Available: [11 December 2006].

That sure sounds like madness to me.

Like I said earlier, CCS sounds like a great idea until you give it some serious thought. If the tar sands industry is pinning its hopes on this very questionable technology, I think it will be a huge mistake.

I'd sure like to hear some industry thinking on this, but in the meantime, I would encourage interested and concerned folks to look around for information about CCS's problems. Just Google "Carbon capture and storage problems" and see what comes up.

Reply to this post
Where to store?
posted by ccanuck   Wednesday, July 09, 2008 3:59 PM
Capturing is possible and reasonable given the current available technologies. The question is where will all of this CO2 be stored? Perhaps there is available some depleted gas wells, then it raises the question of transportation. We don't have enough pipelines to transport the crude oil now, how much is going to be spent shuffling CO2 around the province?


Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Wednesday, July 09, 2008 9:33 PM
Ccanuck,

For some idea of costs, take a look at this article in The Guardian: http://society.guardian.co.uk/thecarbonquestion/story/0,,2287198,00.html

Reply to this Comment
posted by Stephen   Thursday, July 10, 2008 1:49 PM
Coal beds have a natural affinity to CO2. This has been shown in Coal bed methane production, where the coal beds will retain twice the volume of CO2 than the methane that is extracted.

I believe that current plans in Alberta are to store the CO2 in coal beds in Central Alberta.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Stephen   Thursday, July 10, 2008 1:59 PM
I googled Carbon capture and storage problems as you suggested, but I didn't find any negative comments. Could you be more specific about your concerns?

Myself, I'm curious about what CCS could do to groundwater regimes. Will it cause contamintion of groundwater? Could it change flow patterns?

I'm also curious about the energy balance to accomplish CCS. How much CO2 is released in transporting, pressurizing, and storing the CO2? Will it be significantly lower than the amount of CO2 that is being stored?

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Friday, July 11, 2008 12:54 PM
Stephen,

Here's one of the articles I found when Googling: http://www.changecollege.org.uk/html/dead_end_carbon_capture.html.

There is also a piece by Andrew Nikiforuk: http://www.canadianbusiness.com/technology/trends/article.jsp?content=20080702_112412_9668

Here's a recent Greenpeace report: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/press/reports/false-hope

But it seems to me that there still hasn't been a lot of work done
on the possible environmental problems of CCS, such as groundwater
as you mention. The problem is, there is so much hope being put on
CCS and the idea that it will save us from having to make the huge
reductions in CO2 that are needed in other more sensible ways. The
danger of putting so much faith is put in CCS and carrying on with
business as usual is that if CCS is found not to work as well as
advertised, and all sorts of environmental problems are found with
it, we will have wasted lots of time dealing with CO2 in other ways
and meanwhile we will have increased CO2 in the atmosphere to even
more dangerous levels than at present. It's just like so many
other problems humans have caused: we think we can come up with
some techno-fix which in the end makes the problem worse or causes
other unforeseen problems. CCS strikes me as being that kind of
"solution" but on an unprecedented scale.

Trouble is, now the tar sands folks are getting very excited about
it and see it as the ticket to unlimited business as usual. Again,
I say it's madness!

Reply to this Comment
posted by ritchie   Monday, July 14, 2008 12:04 PM
Carbon dioxide is to be sequestered in spent oil and gas reservoirs and in deep saline formations that are more than 800 metres below the surface. The carbon dioxide will not affect groundwater because it will be stored far below groundwater levels and separated by cap layers of impermeable rock.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Tuesday, July 15, 2008 1:10 PM
Ritchie,

Yeah, it all sounds fine, but there's still a great deal of research still to be done
to ensure that CO2 can be sequestered in deep saline formations safely and economically. Here are a few excerpts from the Pembina study:

p. ix: There is "...limited experience with large-scale geological storage, including “proving” the estimates of storage capacity in deep saline formations."

p.37: “Once injected, evidence from natural CO2 reservoirs and from numerical models suggests that CO2 can — in principle — be confined in geological reservoirs for time scales well in excess of 1000 yr and that the risks of leakage from geological storage can be small.”

p.45: At a regional level there may occasionally be limitations on capacity, but modeling suggests that the geological reservoir capacity is more than would be required for CO2 storage over the next century.

p.51: “So far, there is very little experience with long-term CO2 storage and no proof that storage can be safely guaranteed over a period of centuries.”

p.64: [There are some who have] doubts as to whether CO2 storage can really be made permanent. While oil and gas fields are reasonably well understood over periods of a few decades, the long-term performance of seals and the character of other formations such as saline aquifers are much less well understood. CO2 would need to be trapped permanently — meaning at a minimum for tens of thousands of years.

Reply to this Comment
posted by ritchie   Thursday, July 17, 2008 11:55 AM
I've read the Pembina report (I've read all their reports, actually). The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change supports CCS. I've also read a plethora of research where the technology is working, namely in Norway's offshore Sleipner and Snohvit operations. CCS has been used effectively at Sleipner since 1996.

I'm not sold on the technology, myself. I'd prefer to see actual reduction in emissions rather than storing emissions without capping.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Friday, July 18, 2008 2:19 AM
Ritchie,

I agree that CCS seems to work in certain circumstances, but the
idea that it's going to be able to handle the huge volumes of CO2
that some people are claiming for it just isn't realistic, especially
when there is a great deal of work still to be done on the
possible environmental problems of CCS. I guess the best that can
be expected is that CCS will be one of many ways of dealing with
CO2, but the technique should be used only in situations where
it can be proven to be safe beyond reasonable doubt.

In the end, as you say, only serious reductions of emissions are
going to deal with the climate change problem. CCS can help to a
certain degree, but it continues to be championed most eagerly by
those who have the most to lose if the fossil-fuel-fired status quo
and business as usual are threatened.

Reply to this Comment
Carbon Sequestration
posted by Bill   Thursday, July 10, 2008 6:28 PM
I like to look at carbon sequestration in a slightly different way than I've seen other describe it. Essentially if you look at the hydrocarbons - oil, gas, bitumen and for that matter coal, they are essentially sequestered carbon, only carbon that was sequestered millions of years ago. I think it is perfectly logical option to "resequester" this same carbon in depleted oil and gas reservoirs where it once was sequestered. It would be sequestered as CO2 rather than as CH4 or other hydrocarbons. We have simply extracted the energy from it. I think sequestration at major projects sites and from major sources such as power plants and large sources such as upgraders makes a lot of sense. This is controlling the "supply" side of CO2.

The other side of the equation is the demand side of CO2. How simple it would be for us as consumers to reduce the amount of CO2 generated. Do we need to all drive our SUV's, live in excessively large houses etc. etc. Should we not have an expectation that we have efficient and comfortable public transportation, publically funded, rather than publically funded freeways and interchanges. I think we the consumer need to change our habits and hold our politicians accountable.

I actually support the concept of a carbon tax on all consumption - industrial and consumer - including exports. This tax could be used to fund projects to wean us from our excessive hydrocarbon consumption - projects such as a high speed rail link between Edmonton and Calgary. Alberta has a tremendous opportunity to lead the way, not only in Canada, but in the world. But first we as Alberta consumers need to be responsible in way we consume hydrocarbons or we deserve the red neck label we so often get.

Is this pretty radical thinking, no, I hope not, and no, I not writing this for an Environment advocacy group or for an Oil company. I have spent the last 34 years working in the "patch", but I am writing this as an Albertan, a Canadian, and a world citizen.

Bill

Reply to this Comment
Carbon Capture
posted by travis.p   Friday, July 11, 2008 5:40 PM
They are storing the CO2 in old coal beds, couldn't they store it in the old salt caverns like they do with Natural Gas? I guess that idea would be too simple....hmmmm

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Saturday, July 12, 2008 1:23 AM
Travis,

Take a look at the Pembina Institute's study of CCS. It will give
you a good understanding of what's involved and the various ways
being considered for storing CO2. You can download it here:
http://www.pembina.org/pub/584

Chris

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Saturday, July 19, 2008 2:45 PM
Bill, I completely agree with you that the major emphasis must be on the
demand side of the equation. Spending huge amounts of money, energy
and ingenuity trying to control the "supply" side of CO2 is a recipe
for disaster because it doesn't get at the root of the problem and
uses up a great deal of the funding and talent needed to develop the
real solutions.

The fact that you have spent 34 years working in the "patch" lends a
lot of credibility to what you say. I hope you're really talking it
up with your fellow "patchers"! :)

Reply to this Comment
What a waste
posted by JRWakefield   Monday, August 04, 2008 8:38 PM
This is a collosal waste of money and resources for something that is not a problem. AGW is falling apart at the seams. More and more peer reviewed papers do not support alarmist predictions. The sooner this scam is shown to be what it is, a big expensive hoax, the sooner we can get on to more urgent issues.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Tuesday, August 05, 2008 6:13 AM
Well, JR, we'll have to agree to disagree on this point.

If you accept that some CO2 in the atmosphere is essential
for keeping us from being frozen by the cold of space, why is it
so hard to grasp that too much CO2 in the atmosphere can make it too
warm here on Earth?

I live in the NWT and there are all sorts of indications there of
warming temperatures which match the predictions made by climate
change models. I don't feel like just standing by and doing nothing
as Arctic and Subarctic ecosystems fall apart due to rising
temperatures.

I think Albertans have to get beyond the idea that climate change is
a hoax and a plot by eastern Canada to rob Alberta of its just
rewards. If there were ever an issue to unite everyone on this
tiny planet and get everyone working together, surely climate change
is it.

Reply to this Comment
Climate change is normal
posted by JRWakefield   Tuesday, August 05, 2008 12:20 PM
Even for your area. The medieval warm period, 800AD-1300AD, was 2C warmer than now and lasted 500 years. Wasn't from us. 55MYO you had palm trees grow in your area.

The fact is the link between CO2 from humans and this current warm period (warm 1880-1945, cooled 1945-1975, warmed 1975-1998, cooled 1998-present) is not 1:1. There is no link between CO2 and warmer climates.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Tuesday, August 05, 2008 7:09 AM
By the way, JR, can you give me some examples of the "More and more
peer reviewed papers [that] do not support alarmist predictions"?

Reply to this Comment
Peer Reviewed Papers
posted by JRWakefield   Tuesday, August 05, 2008 12:30 PM
Routinely presented in

www.worldclimatereport.com

Such as:

Ahlmann, H. W., 1953. “Glacier Variations and Climatic Fluctuations”. Series Three, Bowman Lecture Series, The American Geographical Society, George Grady Press, New York, available here.

Hofer, E., 1957. Arctic Riviera, Kümmerly & Frey Berne Geographical Publishers, Berne, Switzerland, Distributed in the U.S. by Rand McNally & Co., Chicago, pp. 125.

http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2008/03/31/warming-island-another-global-warming-myth-exposed/#more-315


and

www.co2science.org

Liu, J., Zhang, Z., Hu, Y., Chen, L., Dai, Y. and Ren, X. 2008. Assessment of surface air temperature over the Arctic Ocean in reanalysis and IPCC AR4 model simulations with IABP/POLES observations. Journal of Geophysical Research 113: 10.1029/2007JD009380.

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V11/N32/C1.php


plus

www.icecap.us has some excellent articles on the subject that are definitely eye openners.

Plus, www.climateaudit.org where they dissect the data that is supposed to support AGW.


Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 12:23 AM
But, JR, these are all obviously denialist websites. I meant peer-
reviewed papers in widely respected science journals like, well,
"Science" for example.

Reply to this Comment
That's what these are
posted by JRWakefield   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 11:51 AM
These ARE peer reviewed papers in "widely respected science journals" in more than just Science magazine. How is Journal of Geophysical Research not a "widely respected science journal"? In science there is no such thing as a denier. The proper term is skeptical.

Reply to this Comment
Skeptical Scientists
posted by JRWakefield   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 12:13 PM
Here is a nice long list of skeptical scientists and why

http://www.businessandmedia.org/specialreports/2007/globalwarming/SkepticalScientists.asp

Some of them were on the IPCC review list.

Plus this petition, some 35,000 scientists have signed it

Also this

http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/evidence-towsey.pdf

http://www.oism.org/pproject/s33p36.htm

Reply to this Comment
Predictions are not evidence
posted by JRWakefield   Friday, August 08, 2008 10:12 AM
JR, you said, "Interesting you did not comment on
http://www.oism.org/pproject/GWReview_OISM600.pdf", but in fact
that's the one I did comment on from the Journal of American
Physicians and Surgeons.

Address the content of the document, the evidence presented, instead of attacking the organization who published it. That’s a typical tactic of the AGW dogmatists who cannot defend their position.



As for peer-reviewed articles about climate change-caused damage to
ecosystems, just do a Google of "climate change damage to ecosystems
peer reviewed".

So how come past climate changes this planet has experience over the geological past has not destroyed the planet? Change is normal, effects on the biota are normal. That’s what there is biological evolution. Life adapts to changes. The question is not change, it’s are we causing the change? Answer is YES! But CO2 is not one of them. Our sheer numbers of people is displacing the biota. The climate change we are causing is due to our clearing of forests for farmland and timber. How come those issues are not at the forefront of climate change?


And on Arctic sea ice, one year of cooler weather doesn't constitute
a trend one way or the other.
and one warmer than normal year “doesn't constitute a trend one way or the other.” We must wait for more evidence to see what will actually happen.


And on more CO2 causing a "richer world" through more plant growth,
studies have found that although there is indeed an initial increase
in plant growth, as higher temperatures take hold, the increase drops
off, and some plants even begin to die.

then you misunderstand what global warming means. It does not mean higher maximum temperatures, but more moderated temperatures. 55 million years ago the world’s average temp was 8C more than today. Tropical forests grew right up to the Arctic Circle. The equator was the same as it is today. You can have an increase in the average temp if the lower range is increased without the maximum increase. That’s what has happened with all previous warming trends of the geological past and so there is no reason to think the future will be any different. Hence your accretion that plants will die because it’s too hot is not supported by previous evidence. Unless you have specific, peer reviewed, evidence to support your prediction.

Reply to this Comment
Missed this one
posted by Chriso   Saturday, August 09, 2008 12:38 PM
JR,

This website layout makes it difficult to keep track of new replies, so
I missed your responses to my comments above. I won't bother to
answer them now, and maybe wouldn't have anyway, but of course I
could respond to all of them from my point of view and my sources of
references. However, as I say elsewhere in one of my comments,
there's not really much point in carrying on our "conversation"
because you and I are like oil and water, and will never convince
each other of anything except that this website has been really badly
designed! [By the way, how did you get your responses bolded like that?]

So good luck with your guns and bunkers and freeze-dried food, but
beware of letting the Americans in the door. They'll take everything,
and all us Canucks will become very second-class citizens.

posted by prairiegirl   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 1:07 PM
Interesting how your examples of peer reviewed paper(s) denying climate change include one from 1953 (I don't think that the term "climate change" had been suggested at that point), several websites (because everything on the internet is true, right?) and one peer reviewed article that I doubt you've actually read, since it agrees with the fact that ocean and air temperatures are warming, but discusses the differences in the models used to predict it. Although the predicted degrees/decade were highly variable, 24 out of the 27 models investigated predicted a warming trend (Figure 1), whereas 3 models predicted a slight cooling trend. Since every model has it's own flaws, usually several are used and the consensus is taken. Seems clear to me in this case. If all of your "peer reviewed" articles have the same message, the support for your position is pretty weak.

Regardless if "climate change" is occurring in the form currently sold to us by the experts, you cannot deny that our overconsumption of non-renewable resources is having a negative impact on our environment. Rule #1 from kindergarten: You make a mess, you clean it up. And play nice.

Reply to this Comment
Small sample
posted by JRWakefield   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 1:45 PM
I picked a few that were relevant to the Arctic. Besides, you missed the point of the WCR article in the reference as to why they used the old references. Maybe you should re-read the article. Then check out the archives of all their reviews.


Maybe you should start with this:

http://www.oism.org/pproject/GWReview_OISM600.pdf

Then from someone who was actually involved in AGW
http://carbon-sense.com/2008/07/20/show-us-the-evidence/


Instead of just outright dogmatic blind support for AGW, maybe you should realize that there is nothing in science that is settled, and that there is ligitamate evidence that does not support AGW. For example, sea level has not accelarated (for the alarmist position it would have to be 30 TIMES the current rate), the polar ice caps are not melting beyond normal, oceans have cooled last 10 years, and lastly the planet has not warmed since 1998.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Thursday, August 07, 2008 10:49 AM
JR,

That first article is from the Journal of American Physicians and
Surgeons! And the last paragraph of the article is laughable:

"Human activities are producing part of the rise in CO2 in the at-
mosphere. Mankind is moving the carbon in coal, oil, and natural gas
from below ground to the atmosphere, where it is available for
conversion into living things. We are living in an increasingly lush
environment of plants and animals as a result of this CO2 increase.
Our children will therefore enjoy an Earth with far more plant and
animal life than that with which we now are blessed."

And here's most of the abstract:

"A review of the research literature concerning the environmental
consequences of increased levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide leads
to the conclusion that increases during the 20th and early 21st
centuries have produced no deleterious effects upon Earth’s weather
and climate. Increased carbon dioxide has, however, markedly increased
plant growth. Predictions of harmful climatic effects due to future in creases in hydrocarbon use and minor green house gases like CO2 do not conform
to current experimental knowledge."

I just can't take that seriously, as there's ample evidence that
there have been harmful environmental consequences of rising
temperatures in many parts of the world. Your claim that "the polar
ice caps are not melting beyond normal" is strange, given the alarming
reduction in Arctic sea ice in the last few years. One obvious
consequence of that will be serious damage to ice-dependent marine
ecosystems in the Arctic, and not just the polar bear and its main
prey, the ringed seal (and don't bother to tell me that polar bears
will be fine because they'll just evolve back to being grizzlies and
eat berries).

I have read about many other consequences of rising temperatures all
over the planet (coral bleaching being just one example), but you
don't even agree that temperatures are rising. Based on that, I
don't think we have anything further to discuss about whether
climate change is happening or not, and had best stick to the topic
at hand, the tar sands.

Ignore the evidence
posted by JRWakefield   Thursday, August 07, 2008 12:27 PM
Interesting you did not comment on
http://www.oism.org/pproject/GWReview_OISM600.pdf

Ice extent in the arctic:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/sea.ice.anomaly.timeseries.jpg

Notice the return for this year. Because of this there is no way to say the previous trend will continue.


Polar bears survived the Mideaval Warm Period just fine. Their population has increased from 10,000 in the 1950s to 22,000 today. The WWF fund site says the biggest threat to polar bears is overhunting.

http://www.panda.org/about_wwf/where_we_work/europe/what_we_do/arctic/polar_bear/threats/hunting/index.cfm

"Though much traditional hunting by local communities is sustainable, the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG) documents that, both historically and currently, the main threat to polar bears remains over-hunting. "


Go head, and list evidence from peer reviewed papers that shows the "there's ample evidence that there have been harmful environmental consequences of rising
temperatures in many parts of the world." Give it a try, you wont find any.

Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons is a highly respected and professional organization. And the quotes are dead on. Ever wondered how the sauropods managed to get so large? During their time CO2 levels were FOUR TIMES today's. Plants grew much faster then because of the raised CO2 (also experimentally shown in co2science.org). So the quote is correct. Increase plant growth due to more co2 is already been seen.



posted by Chriso   Friday, August 08, 2008 12:36 AM
JR, you said, "Interesting you did not comment on
http://www.oism.org/pproject/GWReview_OISM600.pdf", but in fact
that's the one I did comment on from the Journal of American
Physicians and Surgeons.

As for peer-reviewed articles about climate change-caused damage to
ecosystems, just do a Google of "climate change damage to ecosystems
peer reviewed".

And on Arctic sea ice, one year of cooler weather doesn't constitute
a trend one way or the other.

And on more CO2 causing a "richer world" through more plant growth,
studies have found that although there is indeed an initial increase
in plant growth, as higher temperatures take hold, the increase drops
off, and some plants even begin to die.

Overconsumption
posted by JRWakefield   Wednesday, August 06, 2008 2:40 PM
I wanted to address this separately. That statement is an opinion. One can just as easily, and I'd say more rationally, say that our consumption is a requirement to keep our economy going. People need energy for their day to day activities. Who's to say that any component of that activity is over consumption? That's a judgment call. What is over consumption in your mind is not to someone else.

This plays into the oil "addiction" nonsense that some people try to ram down our throats. Oil is not an addiction in the same usage it is in drug use. Oil is closer to food. Food is a requirement to keep your body alive. Oil is the food of society.

As for the negative impact. Oil is not the cause of the negative impacts on the environment. Overpopulation is. If we had fewer people on the planet the total environmental damage would be far less. To focus on a false god of destruction makes the true cause of environmental degradation as not so important.

Focusing on fossil fuel use as the cause of degradation of the environment ignores the true problems which will not disappear even if we move to some alternative fuel. As long as the population grows, and we need more food, more energy, more infrastructure, we will have a negative impact on the environment.

Now I also fully realize that oil is non-renewable. In fact, I know about peak oil and what it means. I also agree with the evidence that we are at peak oil now. Why else would we go after the tar sands unless there is no more good stuff available.


NOTE TO OWNERS: This is a really bad editor. No scroll bars.

Reply to this Comment
posted by Chriso   Thursday, August 07, 2008 9:08 PM
JR,

Your last comment ("NOTE TO OWNERS") is one thing we can agree on:
this box I'm writing in does not work at all well because the text
I'm writing disappears off to the right for a number of words before
suddenly appearing again at the left of the next line. The consequence
is that if I just keep writing, I can't see about a third of each
line I type. So I have to do it like in the old days of typewriters:
press the "return" key at the end of each line. And if you want to
make an addition or deletion on a particular line, everything gets
screwed up. The people running this website please take note! Surely
the oil industry can afford better!!

Now JR, as for the rest of your comment about overconsumption, I
completely agree that there are far too many people in the world,
and that if we had fewer people, our present level of fossil fuel
consumption would not be a problem. But the fact is, there are billions
of people consuming fossil fuels, and given that we can't make
billions of people suddenly disappear, humans have no choice but to
reduce their overall consumption, and that means that everyone has
to do his or her bit to accomplish this task. And this applies not
only to fossil fuels, but to practically everything we consume.

The fact is that there are limits to what we can expect this tiny
planet to give (the things we consume) and take (the wastes we
produce), and we have to adjust our lives accordingly. In other words,
we have to live an ecologically sustainable lifestyle, and this is
clearly not the case at the moment.

Of course, there is the total lack of equality about the present
situation as well. It's obvious to me that we in the "developed"
countries are consuming far too much of what Earth can give, and that
in our efforts to adjust our levels of consumption, we will have to
make sure that not only will those levels be ecologically sustainable,
but that everyone on Earth will be getting a reasonable share of that
sustainable consumption (with its attendant waste), which will mean
even deeper reductions in consumption for people in the "developed"
countries like Canada.

I hope you're not one of those people who says that folks in
"developing" countries are having too many kids, and that's what is
causing so many problems in the world. In fact, of course, because
people in countries like Canada have such a high per capita consumption
rate, it is we who are having too many kids!

I agree with you that energy is a necessity of life, just like food,
but as with food, there must be limits to what we consume and the
waste we produce. To say that "our consumption is a requirement to
keep our economy going" is really to admit defeat, to admit that we
will never be able to develop an ecologically sustainable and globally
equitable economy.

To Chriso
posted by JRWakefield   Friday, August 08, 2008 9:51 AM
They really have this site screwed up, no reply link to your post.

Ok, let's digest this argument of your some more. We have too many people, admitted, so instead of trying some effort to address that issue we instead are told we all need to consume less. (which begs the question, how large does the human population have to be before we address the issue) So does this mean no heating of our homes? No fridge for keeping our food fresh? How much is too much consumption? Do we go back to living like we did in the Dark Ages? Or live like those in Somalia? How far are you willing to go to give up your consumption so you no longer feel guilty? And what right do you have to dictate to someone trying to raise their family that they must do without for the good of people in another country?


Fact is, your job, your family, your retirement funds, the entire economy needs this level of energy consumption. Any radical change, such as what you are advocating, will kill the economy putting millions out of work, millions more loosing their homes, and with much reduced taxes for governments you will loose just about all our social services including healthcare. With the consequences of killing people in the process. With so many people out of work, who's going to provide them with an income to feed their kids? Or with your comment maybe those kids should be allowed to starve so that some starving kids in Africa have a chance?


I hear this so much from people like yourself. REDUCE CONSUMPTION! We are energy gluttons! We must be sustainable! But what I never hear is HOW! Please indicate what this society of ours can reduce and what economic and social impact it will have. What would the energy and resources actually be saved in the process? Let’s see some details.

BTW1: Sustainable growth is an oxymoron. It is physically impossible to have perpetual sustainable growth.

BTW2: If we redistributed the resources of this planet equality across everyone we would all be living like Somalians. To bring everyone to an acceptable standard of living would require several earths.

BTW3: And yes, developing countries are breeding way too fast. China alone adds 50 million people EVERY YEAR to their population. Africa is so over populated that they are raiding wildlife preserves for wood and food. The fact is our population has reached the planet's carrying capacity.

So this begs the question. What do we do? I have a suggestion, but few are willing to even hear it. Those who do call me all kinds of nasty names.

posted by Chriso   Friday, August 08, 2008 1:14 PM
Well, I'd say humans have actually exceeded the carrying capacity of
Earth, and obviously we have to try to bring the combined consumption
of everyone on Earth within ecological limits or eventually everyone
dies, and not just human beings.

It's without doubt a huge and complex problem and cannot be
solved overnight, but we must attempt it or all is lost, and
I'm not just talking about our own species. Unfortunately, human
beings don't have a good record thus far of cooperating at such a
level. We do seem to be able to pull together when a disaster
happens, but that's not very hopeful because if we wait for the
disaster of ecological collapse to happen...

As for your plan, I suspect it has something to do with reducing
human numbers, and I reckon that must be part of the long (but not
too long)-term plan, but as you're no doubt aware, population
reduction is a minefield of an issue. I have no idea what level
of human population could be ecologically sustainable, but likely
there are a number of studies on the subject. I would like to see
a situation in which all species now on Earth get enough habitat
and resources to survive into the future, natural evolutionary forces
being allowed for, of course.

I don't believe that if there was a more equitable distribution of
the Earth's resources that we'd all be "living like Somalians", but
we'd sure be living a lot more simply in Canada than we do now, but
I don't see that as necessarily a bad thing like you seem to.

I don't think that people in some African countries are forced to
decimate their environment only because they have too many people.
The fact is that it is primarily poverty that drives most of such
destruction, and if the wealthy countries of the world had kept some
of their promises and were willing to make the terms of world trade
fairer, such people would be in a much better position to take care
of themselves and their families without devastating their own
lands.

But JR, you're basically a right winger and I'm basically a left
winger, and as you know, our ideas and beliefs are like oil and
water, so I really see no point in continuing this particular
conversation because it just goes on and on with neither of us
convincing the other or being convinced. In other words, an utter
waste of time for both of us.

And besides, it's completely off the major topic here, the tar sands
and, in particular, carbon capture and storage. Now go and find a
peer-reviewed article about it! :)

But, by the way, here's an article from "Nature" about the physical
and biological impacts of climate change from all over the world: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v453/n7193/abs/nature06937.html
Needless to say, it has been peer-reviewed. Here's the abstract:

"Significant changes in physical and biological systems are occurring on all continents and in most oceans, with a concentration of available data in Europe and North America. Most of these changes are in the direction expected with warming temperature. Here we show that these changes in natural systems since at least 1970 are occurring in regions of observed temperature increases, and that these temperature increases at continental scales cannot be explained by natural climate variations alone. Given the conclusions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report that most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-twentieth century is very likely to be due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations, and furthermore that it is likely that there has been significant anthropogenic warming over the past 50 years averaged over each continent except Antarctica, we conclude that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents."

Your assumption of plan...
posted by JRWakefield   Friday, August 08, 2008 1:36 PM
is incorrect. The plan is simple. Assume we are at peak oil, assume we are beyond the carrying capacity in human numbers, assume the current trend of consumption and growth will not be changed by a collective act of humanity. Ergo, civilization collapse, Easter Island writ large, is going to occur.


Hence actions we here in Canada can take to help cushion the effects: Close the boarders to all immigration. Ration fuels. Start a beast of burden breeding program. Build as many greenhouses heated with ground source heat pumps as we can. Stop exporting all raw materials. Prepare for a life like the 1800's with no cars and the only mode of distant travel is by rail. That means rebuilding all the branchlines that were ripped up in the 1980's. Spend money, and energy, on things to prepare for a simpler life, instead of squandering it on other peoples who are essentially write offs, and instead of ridiculous schemes at “saving the planet” by sequestering CO2.


Basically seal Canada off from the rest of the world and wait for the rest to collapse into chaos. Just like the survivors of the Titanic did not take their lifeboats into the drowning hoards of people.


Most optimum population for the planet? Zero? Or what the population was before modern technology and oil. That was less than a billion world wide, that's an 80% reduction. We are biological units whether we like it or not, and the laws of thermodynamics will eventually have the last word.


Question for you to ponder though. If you are so convinced that a little bit of cut back on consumption is going to help, then what would you give up? Hobbies? Would you visit the stores you patronize for your over consumptive activity and tell them directly why you will no longer be spending money at their store? Imagine if everyone gave up on these "extras" what would happen to the stores, the people who work there, the truckers who depend on transporting these goods. For a lefty who is so concerned for the livelihood of people in another part of the world, your lack of concern over people here is disconcerting.

Nature article
posted by JRWakefield   Friday, August 08, 2008 4:05 PM
Well, well, will be interesting to see the flak that paper presents! Nasa, you do realize the main author of that paper works for James Hansen, the econut-case at NASA.

Yea, I'll be watching for the fall out over this. BTW, both Nature and Science have been accused of allowing AGW papers in unchallenged, but any that are against AGW do not even get passed on to be reviewed, just rejected outright. Lots on the net about it.


And it is on topic. Carbon sequestering, in an attempt to reverse AGW, is a total waste of money and energy. It will not fix a problem that does not exist.

posted by Chriso   Friday, August 08, 2008 4:47 PM
JR,

You're a survivalist! Not quite what I expected, and you seem to be even more pessimistic than I am. Amazing!

If indeed I was convinced that things will definitely go that way, I might be with you, but planning for that now because you're already convinced that it will happen is a bit too defeatist for me personally. I agree that if we don't get our act together on many fronts (and not just climate change), life as we know it (civilization) will certainly collapse, but I'm not ready to give up just yet.

I think setting up a gated Survival Canada will actually be a waste of time as the Americans will invade us at some point to get all our goodies, but most of all our water.

I completely agree that we are totally at the mercy of natural forces, and that's why I have long been calling for an ecologically sustainable society and economy, living entirely within the limits set for us by the ecosphere. It's just common sense, really, but seemingly ignored by our so-called "leaders" because such a society would bring to an end the whole idea of never-ending economic growth, and the powers that be would like to keep things just the way they are now, thank you very much.

Max sustainable number of people on Earth? That would depend on what level of consumption would be decided on (assuming it would be a rational process), but obviously we're way over that number now.

I don't know where you got the idea that I believe "a little bit of cut back on consumption" would do it. I reckon the cutback would be dictated by the calculated limits of the ecosphere, if anyone would be willing to find out what those limits are for everything. Then divide up the sustainable consumption figures by the number of people on Earth, make local adjustments for different climate and other conditions/circumstances, and there you are. No doubt the cut backs would be substantial, but I haven't put any numbers on them.

Obviously everyone would have to bear some of the burden, and it must be spread as evenly as possible across the world. But if I get what you're saying correctly, you believe that it will be okay for us to maintain our way of life here and not make any sacrifices so that nobody has to make any changes to what they do, where they live, what they work at etc. Wouldn't that a bit selfish of us? Why should Canadians be spared any of the burden? It's not as if we have earned being spared; it's just by pure chance that we happen to have been born in or recently emigrated to a relatively sparsely populated, resource-rich country.

Of course I care about what happens to Canadians, but let's face it — even if it comes to the worst case scenario for the planet, Canadians still won't suffer as much as people in many other parts of the world. I believe that all things are connected on this planet, and that we're all in it together. It seems only right that we should at least try to work out a solution that works for all, including all our fellow species.

posted by Chriso   Friday, August 08, 2008 4:51 PM
"Carbon sequestering, in an attempt to reverse AGW, is a total
waste of money and energy."

Now there's a statement I can agree with!

This is also interesting
posted by JRWakefield   Thursday, August 07, 2008 11:48 AM

Reply to this Comment
Noble attempt
posted by JRWakefield   Saturday, August 09, 2008 10:55 AM
Chriso I would call your desire noble, but unrealistic. The problem is there are so many differing people with differing asperations and many who are willing to do what ever it takes to keept their share, or widen it at other's expense, then there is no way we will ever have a global cooperation. One look at the UN and we can see that.


So one needs to be realistic more than noble. Noble can end up costing far more pain. One thing I've noticed about the lefties you are all for world unification and sharing, but not willing to stick your necks out and try to negotiate with other countries/societies who do not want to share. Seems to me you realize that such attempts are futile.

BWT, I'm in the dead center www.politicalcompass.org


And when I said close the doors, I would make that US and Canada together. We need their military to keep others from invading us for our resources.

Recent study on CCS
posted by chrisob   Wednesday, November 26, 2008 11:27 AM
Here's a report about some briefing notes prepared for the federal government by a carbon capture task force and made public by the CBC (who obtained them under the Freedom of Information Act).

Doesn't sound too good for CCS, but the technology is still being touted by the Feds and Alberta as the major way that tar sands CO2 emissions will be dealt with.

Anyway, here's the report:

Little gain from oil sands carbon capture: report

Tue Nov 25, 2008 12:28am GMT

CALGARY, Alberta (Reuters) - Canada's government saw only limited opportunities to cut greenhouse gas emissions from the oil sands using carbon capture and storage technology, according to briefing notes obtained by a Canadian media.

The notes, prepared by a carbon capture task force, were used by Canadian federal and provincial politicians and were obtained by the Canadian Broadcasting Corp, which said it requested them under freedom of information legislation.

Carbon capture and storage would see carbon-dioxide removed from the emissions of oil sands upgraders that turn tar-like bitumen into refinery-ready synthetic crude. The captured CO2 would be put into underground reservoirs for permanent storage instead of being pumped into the atmosphere.

The government of Alberta and the federal government are touting carbon capture and storage (CCS) as a way clean up emissions from huge energy projects in the northern Alberta oil sands region, which contains some 173 billion barrels of tar-like bitumen.

Earlier this year Alberta set aside C$2 billion (to fund CCS projects from big emitters like oil sands upgraders and power plants

But the briefing notes say the technology offers only limited solutions to greenhouse gas emissions from oil sands projects.

"Only a small percentage of emitted CO2 is 'capturable' since most emissions aren't pure enough," said a copy of the note that was posted on the CBC website. "Only limited near-term opportunities exist in the oil sands and they largely relate to the upgrader facilities."

It also said that the projects will be expensive and government will have legal liability for stored carbon-dioxide.

Some critics say the briefing notes are only acknowledging what is already known: that the technology is expensive and may not mitigate carbon emissions for the oil sands.

"This is technology that will require massive subsidies," said Dave Martin, climate and energy co-ordinator for Greenpeace "This is a boondoggle of the first order."

Still, the Alberta government is backing the technology as a way to ensure that oil sands projects don't face sanctions from any climate change legislation introduced in the United States, which buys most of Canada's oil exports.

"It's well known that there are some challenges in capturing emissions at oil sands facilities," said Jason Chance, a spokesman for Alberta's energy department. "But what our own analysis tells us is still up to 75 percent of oil sands (emissions) are capturable."

($1=$1.23 Canadian)

(Reporting by Scott Haggett; editing by Rob Wilson)


Reply to this Comment
Article about another study
posted by chrisob   Monday, December 08, 2008 11:56 PM
Here below is an article from Rachel's Democracy & Health News #959, May 15, 2008

THE CARBON CAPTURE JUGGERNAUT ROLLS ON

[Rachel's introduction: If the coal industry's carbon capture and storage (CCS) plan were ever implemented, it would be the largest hazardous waste disposal project that humans have ever undertaken, and among the most dangerous as well. A new report explains why the plan cannot work.]

By Peter Montague

The coal, oil, automobile, railroad and electric power industries are planning to "solve" the global warming problem by capturing carbon dioxide (CO2) and burying it a mile underground, hoping it will stay there forever. The plan is called CCS, short for "carbon capture and storage" (or sometimes "carbon capture and sequestration").

Emitting CO2 into the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) is thought to be the main human contribution to global warming.

If industry's CCS plan were ever implemented, it would be the largest hazardous waste disposal project that humans have ever undertaken, and among the most dangerous as well. As the New York Times reported April 23, 2008, "A large leak of underground carbon dioxide could be as dangerous as a leak of nuclear fuel, critics say."

Now a new report by Emily Rochon and others (download it here: http://www.precaution.org/lib/gp_report_false_hope.080505.pdf), published by Greenpeace International, describes industry's CCS plan in detail and shows, point by point, why it cannot prevent climate chaos.

Anyone who wants a basic introduction to CCS will want to get a copy of Rochon's report. It is a thoroughly documented, carefully argued, presentation of industry's plan, with professional graphics that clarify how CCS is supposed to work.

Rochon's report is even-handed, often leaning over backwards to present the industry plan in the best possible light. Still, the report concludes that CCS is a "dangerous gamble" that ultimately cannot prevent climate chaos because -- even if it works -- it will arrive too late to do any good.

In 40 pages, Rochon's report reinforces five main points:

1. CCS wastes energy. Capturing carbon dioxide will consume 10% to 40% of the energy produced by a power plant. This means that, on average, CCS would require construction of a fifth power plant for every 4 new power plants that use CCS. Thus CCS requires, on average, 25% more coal mining, transportation, and waste disposal than non-CCS power plants. CCS would also increase the water requirements of power plants by 90%.

2. CCS is expensive. CCS will double the cost of a power plant and will increase the cost of electricity somewhere between 21% and 91%, according to U.S. government figures. Worse, CCS will divert funds away from renewable sources of energy and energy conservation projects, which could reduce CO2 emissions faster and at lower cost than CCS.

3. Storing carbon dioxide underground is risky. No one can guarantee that CO2 buried in the ground will stay put forever. Even very low leakage rates could reverse the climate benefits achieved initially by CO2 burial.

4. CCS carries significant liability risks. A large leak of CO2 could kill vegetation, animals, and humans over a fairly large area. Industry is already angling to get taxpayers to shoulder the liability. With some 6000 CCS burial projects required to make a significant dent in the CO2 problem, opportunities for serious mishaps will be ever-present.

5. CCS cannot deliver in time to avert climate chaos. The world's scientific community is saying CO2 emissions must peak by 2015 and decline thereafter -- but even the most optimistic industry plans call for CCS to begin in 2020 -- and most industry spokespeople are saying CCS won't be available until 2030 to 2050.

Despite these fatal flaws in industry's CCS plan, the U.S. and Europe (and probably China) are counting on CCS to solve the global warming problem. As Fred pearce wrote in New Scientist March 29, "In Germany, only CCS can make sense of an energy policy that combines a large number of new coal-fired power stations with plans for a 40 per cent cut in CO2 emissions by 2020." And the New York Times reported April 23, "Over the next five years, Italy will increase its reliance on coal to 33 percent from 14 percent." The Times reports that "the technology that the industry is counting on to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions that add to global warming -- carbon capture and storage -- is not now commercially available. No one knows if it is feasible on a large, cost-effective scale."

In the U.S., the three remaining major presidential candidates -- Clinton, Obama and McCain -- are all enthusiastic supporters of coal with CCS tacked on. No matter who wins the presidency, the coal industry will be sitting in the Oval Office promoting CCS.

In sum, the coal industry is putting all our eggs -- yours and mine -- in a basket that has never been tried before on a commercial scale. It is -- as Emily Rochon says with characteristic understatement -- a "dangerous gamble."

Rochon's report ends by reminding readers that we already know how to solve climate chaos. Energy conservation and renewable sources of energy are already available, are cost-effective, and can do the job far faster than coal with CCS. CCS is not only dangerous, expensive, and too late to do any good. It is also unnecessary. Given all that, why would we choose to take this dangerous gamble?

Reply to this Comment
The CCS Discussion
posted by Big Easy   Thursday, January 08, 2009 12:59 PM
Enjoyed reading the past discussion between you and JR. I guess JR moved on, and considering you both seemed to acknowledge you aren't about to change your minds
about the positions you have, I am a bit surprised to see these recent postings.

If you consider the energy that is being consumed just to allow this form of communication, I would have expected a truce a bit earlier. Otherwise it is a bit like what is happening in a part of the world where people are dying and killing each other but aren't willing to change their attitudes about their 'enemy'.

That said, I do believe healthy debate should be encouraged, but more focused on solutions rather than pointing fingers at everyone else to say what 'they' should or shouldn't do. I believe in personal responsibility which means regularly looking at how I impact the world around me and how I can reduce that impact. It is a huge daily challenge, whether it means telling my children to walk or take the bus to school rather than me driving them, ensuring every light is turned off when no one is in the room, walking to the grocery store, increasing the amount of insulation in my home,recycling, buying foreign made products where there are labor issues, not using plastic, composting, etc., etc.

One of my concerns about this type of CCS debate is that it tends to ignore the elephant in front of us and concentrates on just one mouthful of the problem. You two hit on two of the major issues facing us, being water consumption and population.

I agree we need to examine alternatives to our current form of energy consumption in North America, but we also need to continue to challenge nay sayers who emphatically state 'this will not work'. That has been said about so many forms of technology over the decades that it becomes an 'eye-rolling' waste of energy in itself.

In testing CCS we need to focus on the big opportunities. If we can reduce current or future emissions from coal-fired electrical plants in Canada we have a HUGE opportunity to help China do the same. They have become the biggest emitter in the world and any small reduction we make happen here will be more than offset in China (and also India) on a world scale. We all know you can't put borders around emissions, so why try and do this in isolation? Lets work with the Chinese issue where a technology breakthrough could have a huge difference for the world. That doesn't mean ignoring it in Canada. It means putting the opportunity on a world scale that will encourage entreprenurial thinking (a primary source of ideas for resolving significant issues).

Reply to this Comment
posted by chrisob   Thursday, January 08, 2009 9:12 PM
Well, "Big Easy", I'm just not at all convinced that CCS will ever work. Furthermore, I'm afraid that testing CCS will be used as a stalling tactic by those (like the petroleum industry) interested in maintaining the status quo as long as possible. But meanwhile a lot of valuable time and money that should have been used for developing renewable energy sources will have been wasted, the major changes to our society and economy that we need as soon as possible will not have been made, and greenhouse gases will have increased, making climate change worse in the long run.

My concerns about CCS arise partly from the fact that those that push it the hardest as the solution to climate change are those who stand to gain either from maintaining the status quo or from testing CCS or from building the infrastructure to support it. There's far too much of a "silver bullet" feeling to the hype around CCS.

And, of course, there are the environmental problems we could be foisting on future generations if, like so many other supposedly brilliant technologies of the past, CCS is a catastrophic failure due to unforeseen dangers.

The thing is, there are so many more environmentally friendly solutions than CCS, solutions that are proven and ready now — conservation being a biggy — so why are we even considering the HUGE investment that will be needed for CCS?

Reply to this Comment
Just discovered an article
posted by chrisob   Friday, January 09, 2009 10:02 AM
Big Easy,

I just received the latest edition of Renewable Energy Weekly and in it was an article about a CCS facility at a Beijing "clean coal" plant: http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/reinsider/story?id=54316

I think you'll find it very interesting.

Chris

Reply to this Comment
And a very recent report...
posted by chrisob   Thursday, January 15, 2009 7:34 PM
The Worldwatch Institute just published its State of the World 2009 Report, and part of the report is a series of essays about climate change collectively entitled, "Climate Connections".

One of the essays is about CCS, and here's the link to download it: http://www.worldwatch.org/files/pdf/SOW09_CC_carbon%20capture.pdf

Here's a couple of selections from the essay:

"In general, several national and global
energy scenarios show that even ambitious
greenhouse gas emission targets can be met
by a three-step strategy without assuming
any appreciable use of CCS within the next
few decades: increased energy efficiency,
more-efficient use of primary energy by using
combined heat and power plants, and ambitious
development of renewable energy."

"Even if CCS is supposed to just be a
bridging technology, significant research and
development efforts are needed. Furthermore,
if this technology can be demonstrated
successfully, additional financing
instruments will be needed to help spread
the use of CCS. ... Yet all these instruments
raise fears that financing CCS could take
funds away from renewable energy or
energy efficiency measures, which would
be counterproductive as these are the most
robust climate protection strategies."

And the final paragraph concludes:

"In the end, a lot of open questions about
CCS remain to be solved—technical as well
as legal and socioeconomic ones. Today it
cannot be foreseen if, how much, where,
and when CCS will play a significant role as
a strategic climate protection option. If it
proves to be both commercially available
and competitive, the question of suitable
and safe storage places may become the tipping
point for extensive use. What is clear is
that there will not be a large-scale deployment
of CCS in the next 10–15 years. If this
time is used for ambitious development and
diffusion of renewable sources, the argument
for CCS as a “bridge” to renewable
energy will lose its force."

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